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Calculate the forecast error variance for a VAR out to a specified horizon

Usage

fev(var, n_ahead = 20)

Arguments

var

vars::VAR or svars object

n_ahead

number of steps out to calculate fev

Value

forecast error variance

Examples

x <- svars::USA
v <- vars::VAR(x, p = 2)
mvar <- id_fevdtd(v, "pi", 4:10)
fev(mvar)
#> $fev
#>      h impulse response         fev
#> 1    1    Main        x 0.004595113
#> 2    2    Main        x 0.014520166
#> 3    3    Main        x 0.019266752
#> 4    4    Main        x 0.020059480
#> 5    5    Main        x 0.020671316
#> 6    6    Main        x 0.027137434
#> 7    7    Main        x 0.045556585
#> 8    8    Main        x 0.080890511
#> 9    9    Main        x 0.136434821
#> 10  10    Main        x 0.213670783
#> 11  11    Main        x 0.312394627
#> 12  12    Main        x 0.430984605
#> 13  13    Main        x 0.566732614
#> 14  14    Main        x 0.716186771
#> 15  15    Main        x 0.875473447
#> 16  16    Main        x 1.040580261
#> 17  17    Main        x 1.207590895
#> 18  18    Main        x 1.372868757
#> 19  19    Main        x 1.533190663
#> 20  20    Main        x 1.685834304
#> 21   1  Orth_2        x 0.508244017
#> 22   2  Orth_2        x 1.162171224
#> 23   3  Orth_2        x 1.713622950
#> 24   4  Orth_2        x 2.087258063
#> 25   5  Orth_2        x 2.308804924
#> 26   6  Orth_2        x 2.426734453
#> 27   7  Orth_2        x 2.482615172
#> 28   8  Orth_2        x 2.505097353
#> 29   9  Orth_2        x 2.511767866
#> 30  10  Orth_2        x 2.512580849
#> 31  11  Orth_2        x 2.512736780
#> 32  12  Orth_2        x 2.514658889
#> 33  13  Orth_2        x 2.519225947
#> 34  14  Orth_2        x 2.526500403
#> 35  15  Orth_2        x 2.536143487
#> 36  16  Orth_2        x 2.547645762
#> 37  17  Orth_2        x 2.560452239
#> 38  18  Orth_2        x 2.574028399
#> 39  19  Orth_2        x 2.587893458
#> 40  20  Orth_2        x 2.601635504
#> 41   1  Orth_3        x 0.007792541
#> 42   2  Orth_3        x 0.009796929
#> 43   3  Orth_3        x 0.018413679
#> 44   4  Orth_3        x 0.044445679
#> 45   5  Orth_3        x 0.093862369
#> 46   6  Orth_3        x 0.166538604
#> 47   7  Orth_3        x 0.257176998
#> 48   8  Orth_3        x 0.358516886
#> 49   9  Orth_3        x 0.463345230
#> 50  10  Orth_3        x 0.565656760
#> 51  11  Orth_3        x 0.661039172
#> 52  12  Orth_3        x 0.746643969
#> 53  13  Orth_3        x 0.820959228
#> 54  14  Orth_3        x 0.883521954
#> 55  15  Orth_3        x 0.934638030
#> 56  16  Orth_3        x 0.975138912
#> 57  17  Orth_3        x 1.006183262
#> 58  18  Orth_3        x 1.029101925
#> 59  19  Orth_3        x 1.045280926
#> 60  20  Orth_3        x 1.056076220
#> 61   1    Main       pi 1.132451873
#> 62   2    Main       pi 1.644120454
#> 63   3    Main       pi 2.219943937
#> 64   4    Main       pi 2.714314473
#> 65   5    Main       pi 3.162254522
#> 66   6    Main       pi 3.557117371
#> 67   7    Main       pi 3.901892679
#> 68   8    Main       pi 4.198292387
#> 69   9    Main       pi 4.449121494
#> 70  10    Main       pi 4.657701697
#> 71  11    Main       pi 4.827846644
#> 72  12    Main       pi 4.963689973
#> 73  13    Main       pi 5.069534363
#> 74  14    Main       pi 5.149703576
#> 75  15    Main       pi 5.208411936
#> 76  16    Main       pi 5.249654856
#> 77  17    Main       pi 5.277122943
#> 78  18    Main       pi 5.294139975
#> 79  19    Main       pi 5.303623666
#> 80  20    Main       pi 5.308067175
#> 81   1  Orth_2       pi 0.033645101
#> 82   2  Orth_2       pi 0.039663212
#> 83   3  Orth_2       pi 0.039695982
#> 84   4  Orth_2       pi 0.042832556
#> 85   5  Orth_2       pi 0.051488343
#> 86   6  Orth_2       pi 0.064847267
#> 87   7  Orth_2       pi 0.081315404
#> 88   8  Orth_2       pi 0.099147182
#> 89   9  Orth_2       pi 0.116916255
#> 90  10  Orth_2       pi 0.133593209
#> 91  11  Orth_2       pi 0.148530071
#> 92  12  Orth_2       pi 0.161391075
#> 93  13  Orth_2       pi 0.172076323
#> 94  14  Orth_2       pi 0.180652039
#> 95  15  Orth_2       pi 0.187293082
#> 96  16  Orth_2       pi 0.192238071
#> 97  17  Orth_2       pi 0.195755715
#> 98  18  Orth_2       pi 0.198120407
#> 99  19  Orth_2       pi 0.199595222
#> 100 20  Orth_2       pi 0.200420695
#> 101  1  Orth_3       pi 0.012420848
#> 102  2  Orth_3       pi 0.020919450
#> 103  3  Orth_3       pi 0.021881981
#> 104  4  Orth_3       pi 0.023702066
#> 105  5  Orth_3       pi 0.024371236
#> 106  6  Orth_3       pi 0.024479501
#> 107  7  Orth_3       pi 0.024552304
#> 108  8  Orth_3       pi 0.025333206
#> 109  9  Orth_3       pi 0.027556213
#> 110 10  Orth_3       pi 0.031823753
#> 111 11  Orth_3       pi 0.038547158
#> 112 12  Orth_3       pi 0.047924269
#> 113 13  Orth_3       pi 0.059949809
#> 114 14  Orth_3       pi 0.074443544
#> 115 15  Orth_3       pi 0.091088120
#> 116 16  Orth_3       pi 0.109469770
#> 117 17  Orth_3       pi 0.129117629
#> 118 18  Orth_3       pi 0.149538954
#> 119 19  Orth_3       pi 0.170248816
#> 120 20  Orth_3       pi 0.190793646
#> 121  1    Main        i 0.074521015
#> 122  2    Main        i 0.212582985
#> 123  3    Main        i 0.453779975
#> 124  4    Main        i 0.761150876
#> 125  5    Main        i 1.119750825
#> 126  6    Main        i 1.508162374
#> 127  7    Main        i 1.909679861
#> 128  8    Main        i 2.310058004
#> 129  9    Main        i 2.698069031
#> 130 10    Main        i 3.065125688
#> 131 11    Main        i 3.405034487
#> 132 12    Main        i 3.713693948
#> 133 13    Main        i 3.988803036
#> 134 14    Main        i 4.229575433
#> 135 15    Main        i 4.436466263
#> 136 16    Main        i 4.610914236
#> 137 17    Main        i 4.755102558
#> 138 18    Main        i 4.871741426
#> 139 19    Main        i 4.963874423
#> 140 20    Main        i 5.034710353
#> 141  1  Orth_2        i 0.121163005
#> 142  2  Orth_2        i 0.513572738
#> 143  3  Orth_2        i 0.948654515
#> 144  4  Orth_2        i 1.323993165
#> 145  5  Orth_2        i 1.615854344
#> 146  6  Orth_2        i 1.833886691
#> 147  7  Orth_2        i 1.995836785
#> 148  8  Orth_2        i 2.117534781
#> 149  9  Orth_2        i 2.210820796
#> 150 10  Orth_2        i 2.283904229
#> 151 11  Orth_2        i 2.342307067
#> 152 12  Orth_2        i 2.389714385
#> 153 13  Orth_2        i 2.428604126
#> 154 14  Orth_2        i 2.460676975
#> 155 15  Orth_2        i 2.487139339
#> 156 16  Orth_2        i 2.508885845
#> 157 17  Orth_2        i 2.526615118
#> 158 18  Orth_2        i 2.540901762
#> 159 19  Orth_2        i 2.552239821
#> 160 20  Orth_2        i 2.561067878
#> 161  1  Orth_3        i 0.648255072
#> 162  2  Orth_3        i 1.279944107
#> 163  3  Orth_3        i 1.807093155
#> 164  4  Orth_3        i 2.211015492
#> 165  5  Orth_3        i 2.498479368
#> 166  6  Orth_3        i 2.695886973
#> 167  7  Orth_3        i 2.826972035
#> 168  8  Orth_3        i 2.911203149
#> 169  9  Orth_3        i 2.963115234
#> 170 10  Orth_3        i 2.993284145
#> 171 11  Orth_3        i 3.009302927
#> 172 12  Orth_3        i 3.016601601
#> 173 13  Orth_3        i 3.019048060
#> 174 14  Orth_3        i 3.019372152
#> 175 15  Orth_3        i 3.019461485
#> 176 16  Orth_3        i 3.020570258
#> 177 17  Orth_3        i 3.023470756
#> 178 18  Orth_3        i 3.028567295
#> 179 19  Orth_3        i 3.035985201
#> 180 20  Orth_3        i 3.045642533
#> 
#> attr(,"class")
#> [1] "fevdfev"